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St. Louis to Get Hotter, Wetter, NRDC Report Says

Cairo-Illinois-Mississippi-flooding.jpg
Floods, like the one that took acres of farmland along the confluence of the Mississippi and Ohio rivers this spring, will become even more common, the NRDC warns.
A new report from the National Resources Defense Council predicts all sorts of holy hell triggered by climate change, and St. Louis is one of the places that's given special mention. Basically, says the NRDC, our already muggy little city is about to get even muggier -- with heat, rain and intense storms all likely to increase.

Time to move to San Francisco!

Just kidding. As we learned by sitting in on a conference call with NRDC experts today, packing up our bags and getting the heck out of here is not an appropriate response, as just about every region of the country is expected to face crappier weather. For example, in the southwest, drought is only going to get worse -- even as we'll be drowning in water in the Midwest.
"We find there is no region or city immune to the water-related effects of climate change," says Michelle Mehta, one of the report's authors and a member of the NRDC's water program.

The report also attempts to ascertain what plans that cities have in place to deal with those changes. And, guess what: St. Louis gets singled out for special mention on that front.

It isn't good.

"St. Louis is one city that does not have a water-related plan" in place, Mehta reports.

The report goes into more detail:

In terms of climate change mitigation and adaptation, the city of St. Louis and the state of Missouri generally lag behind the other cities and states featured in this report. A lack of city-specific information on climate change vulnerability should prompt St. Louis to examine its situation more closely, particularly with regard to potential flooding and water supply issues. Meanwhile, the city is in the plan development stage as it works on its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions inventory and sustainability plan, and such efforts should be supported by city officials. However, given that many cities have already gone beyond mitigation to focus on adaptive strategies to build resilience to the impacts of climate change, St. Louis would be well served to include considerations for adaptation in its sustainability planning efforts.
Dan Lashof, director of the agency's climate-change program, says that "deniers" of climate change can continue to debate whether the issue is real, but "cities don't have that luxury."

As for the details of that hot/wet future we have to look forward to: The report notes that overall precipitation has already increased 10 to 20 percent since the 1950s. "In the future, precipitation is expected to continue to increase, especially in winter and spring." That'll lead to rising water levels and potential flooding for some areas both north and south of the city.

Meanwhile, models predict a 36 percent increase in heat waves here, the report says. That means we're going to get an average of 1.9 heat waves per year instead of 1.4, which doesn't sound too bad, until you hear this part:

The models suggest that, in the future, the average St. Louis heat wave will last 14.2 days instead of 10.3. That's two solid weeks of muggy heat. Did we hear San Francisco calling? Never mind everything that the NRDC has predicted for them -- which, sadly, is everything from flooding to water supply challenges to sea levels swamping the airports. We're still getting out of here!


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14 comments
Danieljoeoconnor
Danieljoeoconnor

i use to think global warming was real until they started pushing that carbon tax scheme where the developing countries are exempt including china and then found out the rothchilds global bank was running the scheme and so i looked into it some more and now i believe it's a total fraud by which to add another tax on people and a way to further enslave mankind.

Psychlops68
Psychlops68

Nothing like a climate change story to bring out the mouth breathers who deny it is happening because.. well, just because they say so and never mind the data that serious scientists agree on. Sorry, S. Bahar; data and science don't stand a chance against the tea party ignoramuses who worship at the altar of Rush, Fox News, Glenn Beck, and all the other patron saints of the intellectually and morally challenged. We are all screwed.

forparity
forparity

Yep - looks like St Louis is on track to get about as warm as it was during the last little mini hot cycle -- some 80 years ago:

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-...

And, I bet after a while, that it cools off again for a few decades, perhaps longer. Just like before.

Danieljoeoconnor
Danieljoeoconnor

 yes san francisco is a beautiful city. i lived there 3 1/2 years. never freezes but even in summer you need a light jacket.  due to its' limited space it gets less and less livable as time goes on.  have your wallet ready. 2nd most expensive city in the u. s. despite all the homeless living on the streets.  still it's a great city to party in. very romantic and  it's like the whole city is always celebrating something.  the streets are always filled with people.  there was no real estate bust in s. f..  it's just too desirable. as for real estate the conditions are probably just the opposite to st. louis. the chinese own a lot of the most valuable real estate in chinatown next to the financial district and north beach. a two bedroom apartment rents for a few hundred in st. louis rents for about 2-3 thousand in s. f..  oakland across the bay is 2nd most dangerous city.  as time goes on  you can get tired of the cost and lack of parking space for example.

Saint Louise
Saint Louise

The NRDC takes a page from the classic playbook of religious evangelicalism.

Scare us with threats of Hell and brimstone, and pass the plate for the money.

 Meh.

The NRDC can't predict what next winter will be like in our area, but woe is us for their vision of doom.

Hey NRDC ---you is talking to St. Louis on a conference call ! Get down to 14th St. and MLK and hold a real conference you pussies.

We live in one of the most violent and dangerous cities in the USA. We have too many trans-fats in our food turning our arteries into rotted hoses and our asses into hams. Our cell phones are bubbling tumors in our brains, the fricken' mosquites are carrying West Nile virus to our brain. Our crayfish infect us with parasites that bore under our skins.  Heroin here is touted as cheaper than beer, and Sudafed is the gateway to being a mullet-headed meth dealer.

NRDC wanna scare us with climate change? Go on....make my day!

jinx
jinx

So is your mom.

Hschneider
Hschneider

One local St. Louis company, Blue Skies Recycling, is doing something about the climate changes. Blue Skies not only recycles glass, paper and plastic, but also recycles organics, thereby reducing the methane gas released by landfills. Find out how your company or business can be a part of the solution with Blue Skies Recycling solutions. Visit our website at http://www.blueskiesrecycling....

S. Bahar
S. Bahar

As a scientist, I'm saddened to see the first few comments here are from people who dismiss climate change. It's real, we're causing it. Yes, climate has always varied throughout the earth's history, but the particular changes happening now are incredibly destructive, and are caused by us. I'd recommned that before people snipe at "eco-whiners", they investigate some of the actual scientific data. This is a good place to start: http://www.ucsusa.org/global_w....

Joe Corica
Joe Corica

if the weather is changing, blame the sun. pretending we can fix it by driving cardboard boxes on corn-oil fuel isn't going to solve anything. 'climate change' is not the same thing as 'man made global warming'. the climate of earth has never been 'stable', it has always been changing. pretendind we are changing it now or could stop it from changing is just silliness.

Rugels Pawpaw
Rugels Pawpaw

So, when the STL weather is muggy, the harbingers of dreaded "climate change" declare it will be more muggy. When its cold , the prophets of doom 'predict' colder. When its wet, it will be wetter ...  when dry , it will be dryer ------ blah bah blah.

OK. We get it. The doom and gloomers simply take the current misery and pimp it up a notch to the scare factor level. Listen to them? Spend countless resources and money on their predictions? But what if they are wrong. What if the current pattern of climate change is short term, what if the cycle reverses?  You see, the NRDS predictions are based on a very limited, and very short data set.

Note to eco-whiners;  if all the green house emissions from the STL region were totally eliminated the climate of planet earth would not change one bit. That's right. The industrialization of the 3rd World, China, and India will negate any reduction in our puny St.Louis carbon foot print. 

Wanna know what real climate change has happened in STL? Take a geology field trip to visit the local glacial features and especially the interstitial layers of palm flora that are evidenced in our region. See for yourself that the climate has ALWAYS changed, even without mankind's self deprecation and self guilt. 

Yes the climate is changing, yes it always has, NO the NRDC can't say state with certainty just what those changes will be. DON'T PANIC

Rainman
Rainman

You need to check your facts dude.  Climate change IS cyclical, but what's happening now goes against the normal cycles.  This is proven out when looking at the Antarctic ice cores that have been drilled to about 2 miles deep.  Look at the glaciers and ice caps, and the sudden rapid acceleration of their melting.  This doesn't mean that mankind is the culprit, but you can't ignore the facts -- there IS global warming, and a lot of low coastal cities are going to be caught with their pants down.

Rugels Pawpaw
Rugels Pawpaw

@Rainman, ----Dude, what part of "the climate has ALWAYS changed ... Yes the climate is changing, yes it always has"   don't you understand?

@ S. Bahar---  neither comments "dismissed climate change". They simply didn't draw a cause-and-effect via human guilt.  Bother you that climate change may be natural and unavoidable ?

The problem with eco-student 101'ers, undergrad "scientist", and hipster planet savers is they don't have enough experience with real facts to know that there is not enough data in this instance to draw a predicable conclusion.

The world does not always work with "normal cycles" and is oft prone to anomalous climate changes. Thus my reference to drastic interstitial warming trends amid the most recent glacial epochs. In local layers of glacial till, and loess deposition, there are Florida-like fauna known as the Robein layer. This happened long before man had any effect on climate and shows that there is constant drastic climate change here.

In conclusion. Just because the trend is warmer, doesn't guarantee it will remain that way. AND even so, if the trend is consistant , us humans may or may not be the cause (NO conclusive FACTS you see)...and the effects will likely be impossible to mitigate ....so live with it , adapt and DON"T PANIC.

Adrian R
Adrian R

Funny how "don't panic" in your parlance means "don't talk about it."  That's a political stance, not an ecological one.

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